Sphere of Reason

落雁沈鱼新嫁娘

于归詹府俊儿郎
宜家宜室唯文静

生女生男看翊强

 

 

Moira 的

贺詹郎. 依韵和陈骅

良缘早定属天香

三十年后验异邦

孟夏晴明上吉日

亲朋齐聚慕鸳鸯

 

Doggy 的

“顶真”戏和小刘

天香红线缚詹郎

异邦烛下拜高堂

吉日良时休恨短

鸳鸯帐中风光长

 

Coffeehead 的

辘轳体接小犬

帐里鸳鸯乐未央  
天香红线缚詹郎  
吹箫唇下追萧史  
举案眉前比孟光  

负笈千朝别故邦  
洞房金榜两茫茫  
天香红线詹郎缚  
原是温柔在异乡  

 

半生不遇又何妨  
且把真心细细藏  
三世良缘石上刻  
天香红线缚詹郎  

 

doggy 又作:

萧史天纵解宫商

弄玉灵心更无双

阳台月下奏一曲

激越悠扬动四疆

 

平生所长赤玉箫

相授良徒未辞劳

羡煞扬州韩判官

择遍玉人不堪教

 

Onion 依韵和:

 

窗前红炬正高烧  
烛下佳人弄玉箫  
花落双眸尤带雨  
颜开两颊倍含娇  

 

 

 

 

长河落日, 大漠龙沙. 既寻苏五十不见, 东风(OSLC)亦不与陈郎便.  不得已落魄玛拉笛(前旗与乌审旗间,蒙语牧民之义). 大炕同眠四人, 闲来得律两首, 记此定边之旅:

 

 

夕照龙沙上, 苍凉唯落晖
南征北战罢, 西气东输归
车显风尘貌, 人多关塞衣
今宵羌曲里, 挑灯会张飞

 

边城一别百千里, 大漠长驱三两天
车自重庆发长庆, 人由延边戍定边
黄沙划地胡风泣, 红日升空娇客眠
总为苍天红粉妒, 忍将锦绣付油田

 

PetroChina's Sulige field to have 4 bln cu m of production capacity by yr-end
November 18, 2007: 09:51 PM EST

Nov. 18, 2007 (Thomson Financial delivered by Newstex) --

BEIJING (XFN-ASIA) - The Sulige gas field, operated by PetroChina Co Ltd (HK 0857), the country's largest oil and gas producer, is expected to have production capacity of 4 bln cubic meters by the end of the year as more wells come onstream, PetroChina parent China National Petroleum Corp said.

The gas field, located in northern China's Inner Mongolia region, had gas output of 270 mln cubic meters in 2006.

Currently, the field produces over 10 mln cubic meters of gas per day, it said.

Sulige, in the Ordos Basin, has proven gas reserves of more than 100 bln cubic meters.

The field is near a pipeline which links western China with major customers in Shanghai and Nanjing.

In March 2006, PetroChina Co Ltd signed an agreement with France's Total SA (NYSE:TOT) to jointly develop Sulige.

 

 

客有不期馈月饼, 始知昨夜是中秋.
众家团圆之夜, 对影独斟之时;
正值半分秋色, 斜看十成月华, 拈来

秋来方两日, 去国又三年
驽马恋旧栈, 池鱼思故渊  句

 

再半晌, 有

 

胡尘何日尽, 汉月几时圆
不若从斯去, 犹得半生闲

 

然平仄既不谐, 韵脚又不对, 终改五绝为七律:

屈指秋来方两日, 不期去国又三年
十停驽马恋乡栈, 三跃池鱼思故渊
滚滚胡尘何日尽, 悠悠汉月几时圆
折腰陶令五斗米, 负郭苏秦二亩田

 

 

 

何用金批生入关
唯求马革裹尸还
不学乃父碑前死
宁效李陵苟世间

 

 

翟建东的杨延辉, 王芳的铁镜公主.   

 

 

pensées agitées,
pourquoi, dis-moi, c'est toi,
je laisse pas tomber

 

 

喝火令 - A bea

 

琴动纱窗外

棋敲银幕前

换得今夜不成眠

转眼玉绳低转

转眼换流年

 

也有时时念

依然淡淡悬

似那琴声有无间

道是相思

未见片音传

道不是相思也

何必解连环?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

五律-劝刘郎不饮并序

 

 

我饮不须劝
杯中物已空
无为三十载
有酒九千钟
但买今宵醉
何愁明日穷
笑吟风与月
此外百无功

 

 

 

 

Xmas eve, 3am, I was on one of the $4/8 tables at Bellagio, looking into the eyes of a drunk compatriot across the table and pondering hard on the following hand:

Pre-flop: (7 players) Hero is on the button with black nines
Under the gun raises, 3 folds Hero raises, blinds fold, UTG calls.
Flop: 3c Ks 4s (7.5 Small Bets, 2 players)
UTG bets, Hero…?

 

I could:

- Raise the flop, plan on betting the turn and checking behind on the river.
- Raise the flop, plan on checking the turn and calling one on the river.
- Call the flop, plan on raising the turn.
- Calldown.
- Fold.

 

What should I do?  Well, There’s a phrase that gets beaten to death in scientific circle, almost to the point of being a bad joke. “It depends.” If you’re clever enough, you can make yourself a whole career as a scientific advisor/researcher by saying those two words again and again in different ways and contexts (just different enough to keep things fresh). 

OK, to be ironic to the research work I am doing daily is not the purpose here, my questions at the particular moment were:  “What does his bet mean about his range of hands?” and “How will he respond to aggression from me?”  There are so many variables that it might take me a Ph.D. thesis to fully analyze this situation.  I didn’t have the luxury on the table.

Folding is attractive if my friend is exceedingly tight and unpredictable. Exceedingly tight should be obvious. After all, if he will always have at least a king to bet, then it’s an easy fold. But most players aren’t anywhere near that tight and definitely not this drunk Chinese guy.  Unpredictable should also make you more willing to fold. For instance, say your opponent has a king 70% of the time when he bets, and doesn’t have a king the other 30%. But he’s 100% predictable. If you call the flop, he’ll bet again with a king or better and check without. Then your strategy is to call the flop, folding to a bet, or betting after a check.  Given the status my compatriot was then, it was hard to predict his behavior.

If your opponent is looser (more willing to donk bet with weaker pairs and as a semi-bluff), then folding with position and a solid pair becomes the wrong play. Say your opponent likes to go nuts on the flop with lots of hands, but he slows way down on the turn. You should exploit that fact by raising and reraising with him on the flop. After all, your pair of nines is still ahead of lots of hands, and you should take advantage by getting in the bets when you can get them. But you should slow down as well on the turn and river, since if your opponent is still raising you, it likely means trouble for you. So against someone who puts in a lot of flop action, I might put in four bets on the flop and then put in one bet each on the turn and river. (I.e., if he checks, you bet. If he bets, you call.)

Now say your opponent is more timid than that. His donk bet is significantly likely to be a king, but not likely enough that you should fold. And when it’s not a king, it might well be a semi-bluff. (Say he flopped a gutshot with A5 or a flush draw.) And if you raise him, he’ll probably not 3-bet you as a bluff. Then raising immediately can be a good play. If you get 3-bet, you can either fold immediately (if you’re quite sure he wouldn’t 3-bet as a bluff) or you can call and see what happens on the turn, planning to fold to a bet.

If he might 3-bet you with a flush or straight draw on the flop, then you might try a different line. You could call the flop, planning to raise the turn and check the river. This “free showdown” play works great on hands like this one when you can count on your opponent backing down to the turn raise. So the action would go like this. Bet and call on the flop. Bet, raise, and call on the turn. Then check and check on the river. If you get 3-bet on the turn, you simply fold. This line gets maximum money out of a draw, but gives up relatively little if your opponent is almost certain to have at least a king if he 3-bets the turn.

If your opponent is tough and extremely unpredictable - a real threat to 3-bet bluff you on the turn - then just calling all the way down can be ok also (generally betting if your opponent checks). It’s not a great line to take, but sometimes it’s best if your opponent is bluffing too often to fold, if your opponent would reraise as a bluff, but if that reraise would signify that you’re usually behind. That is, just calling down may be best if you would groan if your opponent 3-bet, but then you would look at the size of the pot and decide that you still had to call down anyway because of the odds you were getting.

I don't like raising the flop and checking the turn. The best place actually to use that line is if you think there’s a good chance you’re behind, and if you think checking the turn is likely to induce a river bluff from a hand like a gutshot. If there’s a good chance you’re behind, you want to minimize betting. But you also want the extra chance to snap off a bluff on the end. (If you thought that your opponent wasn’t that likely to bluff the river, then raising the flop and betting the turn, planning to fold to a check-raise would be better.)

 

Whichever way I was about to choose, the bottom line is: The #1 priority in hands like this one is to decide as soon as possible whether I am taking the hand to showdown or not.  Either fold early, or go to showdown.  Once made that decision, HOW to get to showdown isn’t that important. Raise the flop, raise the turn, check the turn, check the river. . . 

 

The top question is stay or go. And the decision is to be made in the beginning, not the end.  Everything after that is details.

 

If I have decided to FOLD one year ago, why am I beating myself to death 365 days after on the details? 

 

 

You got to know when to hold em, know when to fold em,
Know when to walk away and know when to run.
 

 

P.S.

I rerasied the flop, he 3-bet, I capped.  He checked the turn, I bet, he check-raised.  I backed off and called.  He checked the rive, I checked the river.  He showed me pocket 7's while I collected a nice pot of $90 after tossing a couple of blue chips to the dealer.  A good start of my Vegas venture.

 

Hey, there. . . 

it has been long time. . . 

if my memory serves me well, this should be your 18th anniversary since we knew each other. . .

A long long time, n'est-ce pas?

 

 

忆少年

 

昔时年少,

昔时巧笑,

昔时美目.

良辰又近也,

怎留时光住?

忆往事、依稀在眼前，

到如今,

燕归何处？

闻说子执手，

惹相思无数.